It is that time again. After the infamous mix-up of the Best Picture winner last year, everyone will be keeping their eyes open for the most prestigious award show in history: The Oscars. I have always been fascinated with the Oscars and the build-up that comes with it. In this post, I will be breaking down the six big awards: Picture, Director and the four Acting categories, and tell you what should win, what could win and what will win.
Should Win: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Will Win: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Could Win: The Shape of Water
Whilst a lot of people believe a steal could happen from the likes of Get Out or Dunkirk, it is truly a two-horse race. I am yet to see The Shape of Water, but I truly loved Three Billboards. So far I have only gotten to see three of the nominees (Three Billboards, Dunkirk and Get Out), but I feel Three Billboards has the momentum from the Batas, the success of the actor’s winning and the political momentum of the Times Up movement to push it to the finish line.
Should Win: Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)
Will Win: Guillermo Del Toro (The Shape of Water)
Could Win: Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)
I believe this is the time for Nolan to finally get recognised in the Oscars. The directing in Dunkirk is so strong and powerful, I truly feel it deserves the award. This is once again a two-horse race, and whilst it is nice that black directors (Jordan Peele) and female directors (Greta Gerwig) are honoured in this category, it will end up going to either Del Toro or Nolan on the night.
I put Day-Lewis as the could win here purely because this is his final film in his career and the Oscars “may” want to honour that. But in true honesty, nobody is taking this award away from Oldman. This will be his first win and what a win it is for.
Should Win: Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Will Win: Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Could Win: Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)
Once again, I choose someone for the could-win because of their career. Hawkins has given all around amazing performances all year round, not just in The Shape of Water. However, this is McDormand’s award. Her dramatic performance filled with emotion, anger and passion is easily one of the best performances I have seen in cinema full stop. She deserves this award.
Best Supporting Actor
Should Win: Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Will Win: Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Could Win: Willam Dafoe (The Florida Project)
This is the only nomination for The Florida Project, and I have heard many fantastic things about this film. There is a chance that the Oscars will want to recognise it, and Willam is the only person who can get that achievement. However, just like the other acting nominees, this is almost certainly a lock for Rockwell to win. The dramatic, passionate performances with a role that has a redemption arc is the roles that the Oscars like to vote and bet on.
Unlike every other acting category, this one could have a surprise in it. Whilst I am pretty certain that Janney is a lock for the win giving her amazing and dramatic performance, as well as giving an award to I, Tonya (where it will not win anywhere else), there are chances that Metcalf or even someone else could come and take it from under her nose.
Whilst I feel most of the categories are safe bets, the one I am most anticipating is the Best Picture, as the Oscars could go many ways around. It could stay safe and give it a win to Three Billboards, or it could decide to go for a risk and potentially give it to Get Out. All will be revealed tonight. I will be live tweeting the entire event, the winners and losers and all of the performances over on Twitter. My handle is @film_thought so go and follow over there if you haven’t already.
Until Wednesday, that was some film for thought.